Sunday, August 22, 2021

A fair coin is tossed 5 times. What is the probability that exactly 3 heads are obtained?

 A fair coin is tossed 5 times.

What is the probability that exactly 3 heads are obtained?


Solution

The coin is tossed 5 times, hence the number of trials is n=5.
The coin being a fair one, the outcome of a head in one toss has a probability p=0.5 and an outcome of a tail in one toss has a probability 1p=0.5
The probability of having 3 heads in 5 trials is given by the formula for binomial probabilities above with n=5k=3 and p=0.5

P(3heads in 5 trials)=(53)(0.5)3(10.5)53=(53)(0.5)3(0.5)2

Use formula for combinations to calculate

(53)=5!3!(53)!=1×2×3×4×5(1×2×3)(1×2)=10
Substitute
P(3heads in 5 trials)=10(0.5)3(0.5)2=0.3125

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